Thursday, January 24, 2008

Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...My Winter Break And Snowstorms Coming?

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and the first thing I wanted to mention tonight is that the reason I have not posted yesterday and only once the day before is because I am on a kind of "winter break" right now as I have decided to take the 23rd-27th of January off due to bitterly cold inactive weather and fatigue. I just feel like I need a break from all of this HYPE...it's been wearing me out recently with school and everything as I have been staying up very late posting stuff along with heavy school work. So what I'm trying to say is that I will not be posting anything extra until January 28th, but I will try to get a quick discussion up here everyday to keep ya'll informed on the latest. Don't look for much though as I am in "Hibernation Mode" until my birthday on January 29th...then February comes with more storms and warmer weather, so I will come out of my "funk" by then. Anyways, now that I've told ya'll about my 5-day absence, I figure I will proceed to my quick discussion on the upcoming storm and snowfall possibilities. Well the models that I have gotten a chance to look at briefly have a very stormy weather pattern for February, which gives us ample chances at snowstorms and possibly even that "Big Daddy Storm." The only problem I see coming up is that the models take most of the storms up through the Ohio River Valley into the Northeastern States instead of off the Eastern Seaboard, so that would lead to heavy rains for the East Coast instead of that much-desired blizzard. Now, I'm not saying this is set in stone, I'm just trying to say that the way the models look now, all of the upcoming storms will be rain...but at the same time, I do NOT believe that as the NAO is going negative and what the models show just doesn't make sense. So anyways, the first storm we will have to keep an eye on is this Saturday/Sunday as a wave of snow comes across the Great Lakes. At the same time, an area of low pressure will develop off of Cape Hatteras...the models at this time do not merge the systems, but it something that must be watched for East Coast storm development as we go throughout the next 2 days or so. In my opinion, it's very doubtful that these storms will merge, but I would not doubt a dusting to an inch of snow for a wide area from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday and Saturday night. After that, a warmer weather pattern will set in for a few days as a storm system pulls up through the Great Lakes around January 29th/30th bringing showers and steadier rains to the East Coast. Temperatures should once again soar back into the 40s and 50s by next Tuesday, but will quickly fall back to the 30s by approximately next Thursday. After that, another storm system is forecast to develop in the Gulf of Mexico around the 2nd of February, and that one seems to have much more potential to be a mjor East Coast blizzard in my opinion. We will have to wait and see what happens, but I definitely think the "Groundhog's Day Storm" will be something to watch as we go throughout the next week. After that, the models have 2-3 more storms crossing the country through February 10th with heavy rain and snow for almost everybody east of the Mississippi River, but details on those storms will not be clear or even anything to worry about until at least a week to 10 days from now. So the point I am trying to get across tonight is that we are entering a stormy weather pattern as the La Nina that has been in place this winter starts weakening slightly...and snowstorms will become more likely for the Eastern Seaboard up through February 20th. So just get ready, because monster storms could be well on their way! That's about all I have for ya'll this evening, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll hopefully get a chance to talk to ya'll tomorrow! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!

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