Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...TONS Of Active Weather!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and there is absolutely tons of weather to talk about in the next week or two, so I will take it one step at a time and make things as clear as possible. First, our area is in store for some warm weather tomorrow and possible record warmth by Tuesday as I would not be surprised to see 69-74 degree readings across the southern part of Pennsylvania by Tuesday afternoon. The dirty warm-up that has been occurring yesterday and today will be a thing of the past as by tomorrow, the sun will pop out and things should warm up nicely, especially south of I-80. North of I-80, sorry, but you folks may just have to deal with one more day of a "dirt" warm-up with lots of cloudcover and highs stuck between 52 and 57. South of I-80, though, warmth should overspread the region as highs climb easily into the lower 60s to possibly near 65 in the York, Gettysburg, and Hanover areas of south-central Pennsylvania. On Tuesday, the entire region should see highs in the upper 50s to upper 60s with plentiful sunshine followed up by rain and thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday. In the York area on Tuesday, temperatures could easily hit 70-75 degrees...possibly not, but I would not doubt it. On Wednesday, highs across the eastern part of the state will top out in the 50s to near 60 early in the morning before tumbling into the upper 40s in the afternoon. Across the north and west, temperatures should top out around 55 between 1 and 4 A.M. before crashing into the lower and middle 40s by afternoon. On Thursday, the sun should break out again with the passage of a cold front...but in all honesty this front is not a cold front at all as highs statewide should range from the mid 40s to the mid 50s. On Friday, another front will approach the region, and this could be what eventually sets the stage for the storm around the 14th. On Friday, though, highs should range from around 40-45 in the north, northeast, and west to possibly around 60 across the far south and southeast. After the passage of this front, cooling will come in for Saturday but the true cold air should be delayed until Sunday. On Saturday, skies should turn out to be partly cloudy statewide with highs anywhere from the mid 30s to mid 40s. After Saturday, folks across the entire region might as well kiss warmth and sunshine goodbye, though, as an arctic airmass should be poised to attack the area on Sunday and Monday. Combine the arctic air with the 14th storm, and we could see a wintry mess across the state on Sunday night and Monday. Also, a 1028 high pressure is forecast to be snuggled in just north of New York State and Vermont on Sunday into Monday, and I have formulated a theory for the perfect snowstorm and that is one ingredient that must be present. I have written an eight page paper on my theory, so I will not bore you with a large summary of the paper...but all I'm going to say is that in my theory for the perfect East Coast snowstorm, a 1028 high pressure system must be centered just north of New York State and Vermont. It happened in 1996 and 2003, and we all know what occurred then...so could it happen again? Well, it is rather unlikely, but it is definitely something that bears watching especially since the models are hinting at a high pressure there this far out. That definitely has me concerned and has tweaked my curiosity as to the possibility of receiving a major snowstorm statewide. It is still a long way away, and I see no reason as to why I should change my early thoughts snowfall map from last night, but I will definitely be starting to monitor this one more closely as the 14th nears and things begin to become more clear and interesting. There are other storms on the models beyond that, but lets get through the storm this Wednesday, the one on Friday, and the 14th possibility before we start worrying about what comes after that...so that's about all I have for ya'll this evening, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll try to update again later tonight! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!