
Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott...and it appears as though my gut feeling for the December 2nd/3rd storm was definitely correct as the storm is now forecast by all models to either be an Apps Runner or a Lakes Cutter. In either scenario, anybody from the eastern Great Lakes to the coastal plain will see all rain out of this storm. The narrow band of snow on the western edge of the storm will most likely run from around St. Louis to Indianapolis to Detroit, or slightly east of there, and be on the order of 1-4 inches. I will make a final map for this storm tomorrow, but it will not count toward my overall accuracy as the area of snowfall is technically out of my forecasting zone of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern United States. At any rate, though, I will take a best shot for those folks in the eastern Midwest, and I am actually pretty confident that this will be an easy storm to predict as nobody will see a terribly heavy amount of snow, and those on the eastern side of the low will see heavy rain and thunderstorms. So, this storm is not going to be that much of a challenge to predict. So that's about all I have for now, so hope ya'll have a great night and I'll post again tomorrow! This is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!
P.S. Back in late November, I mentioned three storm possibilities ahead. The storm on Thanksgiving/the day after Thanksgiving, the storm on December 2nd, and the storm around December 6th/7th. Well, the storm around Thanksgiving did occur even though it was mostly rain...the storm on the 2nd is still coming, just on the 2nd/3rd now (it is the same storm I talked about 10 days ago though...), and the storm on the 6th/7th disappeared from the models for the past few days but, low and behold, the GFS runs from today now brought the storm back as a "trailer" that comes up the coast behind the storm on Wednesday. So, my original thoughts appear to be correct as I imagined the 6th storm being the snowstorm for the East Coast, and now the GFS shows just that. Instead of the cold air rushing in behind the storm on Wednesday, it now stalls as a new trough axis about 100 miles offshore instead of 600 miles offshore...and energy is now forecast to dive through the Rockies and back into the Gulf of Mexico by Friday. When this happens, a storm is now forecast to develop and ride up the trough axis on Saturday. Instead of going far offshore into the ocean, though, it is now forecast to ride up the coast and produce a swath of snow in none other than the I-95 corridor! So, snow-lovers, your time may be near...but I will have more on that tomorrow...
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