10:30 P.M. Winter Storm Update!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with your 10:30 P.M. winter storm update...and freezing rain has started to fall at my house with my thermometer sitting at 25 degrees. I have been looking at some of the latest happenings with this storm and a low pressure center (the secondary) has begun to form near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The primary low is much weaker than expected and is fizzling out over western Kentucky and southern Ohio. The secondary, unlike the models showed, is not taking off to the north...it is actually waiting for the forgotten Olga. Olga's center has nearly reformed in the Gulf of Mexico and is racing toward the Tampa Bay area. As Olga crosses the Peninsula, it will be sucked up toward the secondary low, and a major "SuperStorm" could bomb out not off New Jersey, but rather Virginia and North Carolina tonight as it moves up the coast in the open waters. It is clear that the center will not move over land, instead, it will move over the open waters. Seeing all this unfold now provides for a very tricky forecast...freezing rain (a significant icestorm) will unfold across parts of South Central and Eastern Pennsylvania tonight with up to one quarter to one half inch of icing...before possibly changing over to all snow sometime tomorrow morning or tomorrow afternoon. Depending on just how strong the secondary becomes off the coast tonight, cold air could quickly be pulled into the system, therefore resulting in a backlash of snow for our area tomorrow. If the system stays weaker and starts racing up the coast tonight, freezing rain will change to plain rain in the morning with only about a quarter inch of ice secretion. My forecast is for the entire storm is between one third and one half inch of freezing rain with 0 inches of snow unless the storm explodes and backlash becomes an issue tomorrow. So my latest snowfall forecasts are as follows: York, nothing to maybe an inch depending on backlash tomorrow; Allentown, 1-2 inches of snow before a major icestorm tonight; Williamsport, 2 inches of snow before sleet and freezing rain and backlash tomorrow; State College, 2-3 inches of snow before sleet/freezing rain and backlash accumulation tomorrow. So that's where things stand for now, so I will update again at 11:30 and give you the latest on the secondary development and our chances for a major icestorm here across eastern Pennsylvania. If you have any questions/thoughts on this forecast or the storm or would like to know my total forecast snowfall/freezing rain accumulations in your area, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott with a special update on the winter storm for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center, in Storm Uncertainty Mode...