Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...A Sneaky Storm?

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and could we end up seeing a sneaky coastal storm develop tomorrow evening and ride up the coast on Wednesday and Wednesday night? Well that remains to be seen, but both the GFS and NAM models show a moderate coastal storm developing around Raleigh, NC, and then heading out to see and up the coast. This, in reality, is actually going to be a product of the storm that I thought might turn out to be the Christmas Day Snowstorm that would give parts of the Mid-Atlantic states 2-4 inches snow. I had given up on anything like that...but now the models have thrown a bit of a twist into things in that anywhere from I-95 to the coast from D.C. to New York City to even Boston may see some rain with some heavy wet snow mixed in from time to time depending on the cold air in place. Personally, I think this storm is probably going to scoot right on out to see...but on the same token, if the high pressure that is going to slide over our region the next few days moves slightly faster and blocks the storm, then the storm could track right up the I-95 corridor giving some heavy wet snow for places from the I-81 corridor eastward from Maryland to Pennsylvania and southeastern New York State. Now please understand that this is a far out situation and one that I think has about 1% chance of happening, but the solution is there, so it will have to be monitored for possible development and snowfall for our area. My official forecast for the time period when the storm would come through is for partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs on Wednesday in the lower 40s and lows around 28-32 with overcast skies at night. So as you can see, I do NOT believe that the storm will track far enough inland to provide any snow for our area, but I will definitely keep an eye on the possibility for snow the next day our so. Anyway, after Wednesday, the pattern will once again resume to that of a mild La Nina with highs in the 40s and 50s accompanied by another weekend rain storm this coming weekend. After that, the NAO is forecast to tank, resulting in a super-cold airmass for the Eastern half of the country that would last through January 5th or 6th. Even so, that bitterly cold airmass is not forecast to hang around for long, though, as the NAO is forecast to go neutral or positive after that along with highs returning to the 40s and 50s by January 10th. It remains to be seen whether or not a coastal storm can blow up as a result of this brief arctic cold shot in early January or even if this cold shot is for real, but it definitely something to watch and something that I see as a very real possibility. Remember, in the kind of pattern that we're in where warm and cold airmasses are battling in an extreme situation with the arctic cold to the north and the southern ridge in the southeast, coastal storms can blow up quicikly as a result of plenty of moisture and energy to feed off of. So anything that threatens, in reality, has to be monitored with the most careful eye and watched for possible snowstorm development in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast corridor. So at this point I think I will refrain from going into any further details about the upcoming possibilites and let ya'll go to enjoy your Christams Eve Day, so that's about all I have for ya'll today, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your afternoon and evening and I'll talk to ya'll tomorrow on Christmas Day! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!