Thursday, January 10, 2008

Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...14th Storm Analysis...And 20th Threat?

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and I think it has come time to start to hammer out the details for the storm Sunday night into Monday although much more exact details will be voiced tomorrow evening. First, a storm system will track through western PA/eastern OH tomorrow morning and head up through the eastern Lakes tomorrow night, ushering cooler air to the entire eastern seaboard. On Saturday and Sunday, 40s should dominate throughout PA statewide under partly to mostly cloudy skies. By late Sunday evening, a storm system will track to the North Carolina coast, spreading snow into Pennsylvania by 10 P.M. Sunday. Across far southeastern PA near Philadelphia, rain should mix with snow throughout the majority of the storm before turning over to a burst of heavy snow on the backside of the storm. Throughtout south-central to northeastern Pennsylvania, this storm should be an all-snow event with a general 4-8 inch accumulation across most areas. A narrow band of 10-14 inches would not be uncommon, though, anywhere from Carlisle, PA, to Selinsgrove, PA, and finally to Scranton, PA. South of the Pennsylvania Turnpike and east of the Susquehanna River, I would not rule out rain mixing with snow for at least half the storm, cutting down snowfall accumulations. From the central mountains to the Lower Susquehanna Valley northward, though, precipitation should fall mostly in the form of snow as highs Monday struggle to reach the middle to upper 30s after heavy wet snow Sunday night. Farther north and east through New York State, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Vermont, and Maine...blizzard conditions would not be out of the question late Sunday night and Monday as the storm wraps itself up off the coast of Cape Cod. I would not doubt places receiving as much 18-24 inches of snow through eastern NY, western MA, and Maine as this storm could be another doosy for New England. Having said all this, the storm is still 3-4 days away and much can still change, so I will continue to tweak and update my forecast as we go through the next day or two. For now, though, I would not rule out mixing issues anywhere from the Pennsylvania Turnpike south and east as warm air aloft still could try to invade the system even into east-central Pennsylvania and far eastern New York State from Poughkeepsie to New York City. So that's about all I have for now, but I'll continue to update throughout the evening and tomorrow as I have now gone into High Anticipation Mode! Oh, and just to keep things HYPED UP, the GFS also has an even bigger snowstorm forecasted for around January 20th... If you have any questions or thoughts on this forecast or the 14th storm, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center, in High Anticipation Mode!

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