Monday, January 28, 2008

Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...3 Notable Storms A'Comin!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and I've decided to extend my winter break for a little while longer as not too much weather is coming up for the East Coast this coming week besides rain. Once the pattern starts getting back to one of possible snowstorms along the Eastern Seaboard, then I will begin to update more frequently and post more than one discussion per day. Until the pattern shifts, though, I am probably only going to continue to post one discussion per day because there is really not going to be much to talk about. In the meantime, I'll tell ya'll what's upcoming for the next week or so...and there will probably be 3 notable storms to talk about between tomorrow and February 5th. The first storm will gather in the Plains tonight and charge eastward tomorrow as a secondary area of low pressue will from along the front and enhance the rain across the East Coast tomorrow evening. As the storm pulls away, much colder air will charge eastward, possibly changing the precipitation over to a brief period of snow anywhere north and west of a line from Elkins, WV...to Chambersburg, PA...to Carlisle, PA...to just north of Harrisburg, PA...to Scranton, PA...to Worcester, MA. Anywhere south and east of that line will most likely stay all rain as too much warm air will surge northward tomorrow with temperatures approaching 50 degrees by tomorrow evening. After that storm goes by, a brief shot of cold air will hit the East Coast by midweek but will quickly be erased by Friday as the "Hogs Day Storm" will begin to form in the Red River Valley of Texas and pull northeastward Thursday night and Friday. Depending on the timing of when the precipitation arrives, it may start out as a brief period of snow or just be a complete rain event for anywhere south of the I-80 corridor across PA. If enough cold air holds its ground, though, places like Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Harrisburg could see an inch or two of snow on the front end of the storm before things change over to an all-rain event. The best call right now, though, if for an all-rain event south of the I-80 corridor as I definitely believe too much warm air will be pulled northward with this storm. After that storm moves through, a third storm will develop right on its heels and head northeastern through the Indiana/Ohio area giving places like Chicago and Green Bay and possibly significant snowstorm around February 4th/5th. Once again, too much warm air will be pulled up along the East Coast to see anything but rain, but don't get your hopes down snow-lovers as arctic air is forecast to set in between February 5th and 12th. After the February 4th/5th storm moves through, the GFS model shows multiple stormsriding up the East Coast with snow for places like D.C., Philadelphia, and New York City between February 6th and 12th, but as ya'll well know, that is bound to change. I am feeling halfway confident, though, that a snowstorm for the Eastern Seaboard is a pretty good bet sometime in early to mid February, but things just cannot be written in stone until at least another week to 10 days goes by...and even after that, things can change. So stay tuned as I will continue to provide the latest updates and information, but that's about all I have for ya'll for now, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll talk to ya'll tomorrow! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!

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