Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...The "Hogs Day Storm!"

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and the main thing I am going to hone in on tonight is the upcoming "Hogs Day Storm" for much of the country. Anybody from Tulsa, OK, to Chicago, IL, on east, southeast, and northeastward will see at least some affect from the Hogs Day Storm. As this will be a major winter storm, I will cover one region at a time. First, precipitation will start to break out across northern Oklahoma late tonight into tomorrow morning as moisture begins to gather around a developing low pressure system over western Texas and Oklahoma. A band of snow will begin around Tulsa, OK, and will spread northeastern through St. Louis, MO, to Indianapolis, IN, to Cleveland, OH, to Buffalo, NY, to Caribou, Maine. Some places could see upwards of 7-11 inches in that band, although more common amounts will be on the order of 4-7 inches. To the east of that line, things will just be a plain mess by Friday as the storm center will head up to about Pittsburgh before jumping the mountains and positioning itself over Scranton, PA, by Friday afternoon and evening. As a result, cold air damming will be an issue from southwestern VA through central and northeastern PA and New York State at the onset of the precipitation. Significant icing and sleet accumulations could result as temperatures hover just below freezing much of the day Friday across the entire ridge-and-valley regions of VA, MD, PA, and NY. Temperatures should warm to just above freezing from the Mason/Dixon line on southward Friday afternoon and evening, but a backlash of precipitation could cause a "flash-freeze" type of deal behind the brief warming Friday evening. Also, the potential still exists for a brief but heavy burst of snow on Friday evening just before the precipitation ends as a quick burst of cold air is pulled into the system. A quick inch of snow may be possible from I-95 north and westward on Friday evening...although the major cities should stay snow-free this time around. Farther south and east from the ridge-and-valley regions, heavy rains could cause flooding potential along with the chance for a mild severe weather outbreak from Richmond, VA, to northern Florida on Friday. Once all is said and done with this storm sometime Saturday afternoon, over 1/3 to 1/2 of the country will have felt affects from this powerful "Hogs Day Storm." After that storm pulls through, things will calm down across most of the country until about February 5th when another powerful winter storm will gather in the plain states. The only difference with that storm, though, is that it will most likely track somewhat farther west along with bringing up record-challenging temperatures for anybody east of the Mississippi River. So for snow-lovers along the I-95 corridor, don't get your hopes up for snow as for the next week or so, things are looking pretty bleak. After about February 7th, though, a pattern change could be in store and maybe, just maybe, an "East Coast Big Daddy" could be in store for the I-95 corridor sometime between February 8th and 20th. So that's about all I have for ya'll today, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll talk to ya'll tomorrow! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!

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