Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...70s In January-Dreams Have Come True!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and dreams that I have had about 70-80 degree weather in January have actually unbelievably come true both yesterday and today here in the Lower Susquehanna Valley. Our official high here in York, PA, yesterday was 71 degrees, breaking the old record by many degrees. Today the high reached 70 degrees, breaking another old record by a few degrees...I just could not (and almost still cannot) believe the last two days actually happened as to me, a warm weather lover, I just never believed 70s could reach our area in January. I have actually had literal dreams before about 70s to near 80 in January...but I never ever thought in my wildest thoughts that those dreams could come true. Let me tell you, I have sufficiently become infected with SPRING FEVER the last two days as I have spent every last minute of daylight outdoors after I came home from school...in shorts and a T-shirt. I played golf on Sunday in a T-shirt in near-60 degree weather in the dead of winter...I just can't believe the last few days happened. I may still have my doubts as this "dream weather" will come to an end by tomorrow morning and afternoon, but even with the passage of the cold front, temperatures will still remain unseasonably warm with highs tomorrow remaining in the middle to upper 50s before falling back to 50 by evening. On Thursday, cloudcover should manage to hold temperatures in the 40s statewide with a few 50 degree readings in the south and east...before another storm system affects our region on Friday. This storm, due to its track up through the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes, will cause precipitation to fall as all rain as high temperatures once again approach 50 in the north and west and lower 60s in the far southeast. But let me warn you, Friday will be the last day of anything warm for a while here in the Lower Susquehanna Valley as arctic air should plow in behind the front. By Saturday, highs statewide will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s with a chilly northwest wind. By Sunday, well, I think everyone knows what's forecasted to happen by then. I myself have been HYPING this (DUH...as has been portrayed by my lengthy discussion and various maps) possible snowstorm on Sunday and Monday for many along the East Coast and the I-95 corridor...but I just am still not convinced there will even be a storm at all. I think, going with my gut on this one, that I-95 folks will probably see a mix of rain and snow with incredibly heavy snow about 20-60 miles to the north and west of I-95 from D.C. to New York. I think the 12z and 18z GFS runs are totally 100% wrong in taking the storm out to sea as I see no indications of this happening, but it is still something to keep in mind and also keeps this storm "up in the air" in regards to whether it will even happen or not. I am thoroughly convinced now, though, that the solution of the storm going up through the Great Lakes will NOT take place as too much cold air will prevent that from happening...but who knows, this winter has been crazy so far so every solution has to be watched. Anyhow, I like the snow map I issued last night and do not want to change it at all this evening, so keep your fingers crossed snow-lovers that this storm will finally be the one we've been waiting for! Well that's about all I have for now, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll post more updates throughout the evening! If you have any further questions or thoughts on the 14th snowstorm possibility, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!

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