Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...Don't Rule Out The Little Guy!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and once I looked at the model runs from this afternoon, I'm definitely not ready to rule out the once-thought-of "little guy storm" this Saturday. The NAM model actually has the I-95 corridor getting a decent snowstorm on Saturday with 2-4 inches of snow anywhere from Washington, DC, to New York City. In my personal opinion, this storm bears MUCH watching as I would not be surprised to see an extreme coastal storm event on Saturday, but my gut tells me not to look for much out of this storm as it will probably end up tracking straight out into the ocean as I showed on my snowfall map last evening. So it will be something to watch, but details are very shaky right now and I prefer not to go in-depth with that storm yet. In the meantime, the heavy rains and thunderstorms that are over the southeastern states today in association with a strong area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will move north and eastward throughout the evening while running into cold air in place over NC and southwestern VA. Precipitation should change over to sleet and snow over western NC and central and western VA tonight before tracking up the I-81 corridor and into Baltimore, Washington, and Philadelphia by late tomorrow morning. Precipitation is probably going to start out as snow and sleet in Washington to Philadelphia tomorrow with a quick inch of snow and/or sleet possible before changing over to sleet and plain rain by the afternoon. I'm not expecting much in the major cities, though, as true arctic air will be anything but in place over the region. The trickier forecast seems to have become places from south-central PA through southeastern New York State, though, as precipitation could stay mainly snow and sleet the entire way through the afternoon and evening tomorrow if the cold air hangs in tough a little bit longer. Personally, I think central and northeastern PA will see about 1-3 inches of snow before receiving about a tenth of an inch or less of ice secretion followed by a period of rain and snow tomorrow night before things come to a close around 2 A.M. Friday morning. This forecast is still very difficult at this point, though, so I will have more in-depth details later this afternoon and this evening after the 18z runs of the models come out. So that's about all I have for ya'll for now, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your afternoon and I'll talk to ya'll this evening! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!