Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...Potential Storm Dates And Thoughts!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and all I'm going to talk about tonight is potential storm dates and my thoughts on the upcoming weather pattern and the storms themselves. First, the possible upcoming storm dates are the 17th/18th, 19th/20th, 24th, 27th, and 29th of January. I will take this one storm at a time so things don't get complicated. The first storm on the 17th/18th looks to be a weaker wave coming up the Eastern Seaboard until it reaches the coast of New England...although I think it maybe be slightly stronger coming up the coast with snow at the onset from around Baltimore to Lancaster to Philadelphia to New York before a quick changeover to rain. Either way you slice it though, I do not think the major cities will see any measureable snowfall accumulation from this storm until it reaches Worcester, MA, through VT, NH, and Maine. After that storm goes through, a significant pattern change may be upcoming for the remainder of the month. The problem I see with this change is that it does not come until January 20th, and it does not make sense to me that the 19th/20th storm gets suppressed off the coast of the Carolinas without coming at least somewhat up the East Coast. I think another storm will be needed to usher in the pattern change over the weekend, and that means the 19th/20th storm should at least come somewhat up the coast and give a snowstorm (finally) to possible say maybe Washington, DC, to Philadelphia and the eastern shore of Maryland. Farther inland, through Baltimore and southern Pennsylvania and New York, I'm not sure about your chances of a good snow yet, but the latest models seem to be following my thoughts as both the 0z NAM and GFS have the 19th/20th storm coming farther up the coast than on previous runs. If this trend continues, my snowfall map for the 20th storm may end up having to be corrected as somebody along the I-95 corridor may finally see a snowstorm this year. After that storm goes by, a significant shot of arctic air comes into the picture as a strong northwesterly flow dives into the eastern half of the country. The cold air will hang tough most likely through the remainder of January for the eastern third of the country, but each and every time a storm comes up we will most likely have to fight the battles of rain and snow along the I-95 corridor as storms will tend to bring warm air up with them. The one thing I have begun to notice about the upcoming pattern change, though, is that the southeastern ridge is becoming suppressed more and moving farther out to sea than it has in the previous month or two. Also, after each high pressure moves offshore of the southeast coast, it appears that a new reinforcing shot of cold air will follow a brief one or two day warm-up. So basically what I deduce from this is that after January 18th, the East Coast will have to be watched much more carefully for snow possibilites than it has been in the past month or so. Anyways, I think the 24th storm will be another rip-off for the I-95 corridor as warm air will just push into the cities at the height of the storm...but that is still HYPE at this point and details are not even close to becoming certain. In the back of my mind, though, I also think that the 27th storm may actually give the major cities a decent snowstorm as a low pressure system should try to ride up the eastern seaboard and catch the reinforced shot of cold air that has been left behind by the 24th storm. So that will have to be watched carefully...and after that, there is a storm possibility around January 29th...my birthday...and that may have to be watched eventually for snow possibilities along the East Coast, although I think that storm may be somewhat of an Appalachians runner. But as ya'll well know, it is hard to predict 2 days out let alone two weeks out, so don't hold me to any of those forecasts as I'm sure they are bound to change. So that's about all I have for ya'll tonight, so hope ya'll have a great night and I'll talk to ya'll tomorrow! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!