Thursday, January 3, 2008

Yesterday's Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...Here Comes The Warmth!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and an overwelming surge of warm air will flood through our region by late in the weekend and early next week, with highs, I believe, possibly reaching 65-70 in the south and southwestern part of Pennsylvania by next Tuesday and Wednesday! Incredible! I, unlike my colleague, think the models are underestimating the warm air (partly because I want the warmth) and that it could be even warmer than they say with record highs falling by the wayside next week. Latest models have the warm-up slightly delayed, coming not until Sunday for most parts of the state with highs only in the 40s on Friday and Saturday. By Sunday, though, most parts of PA should have highs around 50, and by Monday highs should range from 50 in the northeast to 65 in the south and west. But the warm-up will not stop there, as by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, a storm will pull up through the Great Lakes, bringing even warmer temperatures to the area on the wings of a strong southerly and southwesterly flow. By Tuesday and Wednesday, I would not doubt if every location in the state warms to above 55 with most locations between 65 and 70. This may be pushing it, but I would not be surprised to see a 72 or 73 degree reading in the southern part of PA by next Wednesday. But snow fans, don't get discouraged as by mid-month, the pattern appears to change a little bit...not as dramatically as was shown the last few days, but at least we will have more chances for storms again. The problem appears like it still may remain, though, the rain/snow line as it appears as if the coldest air just will not want to push past the Appalachian Mountains. In the back of my mind, I had a feeling this might still be a problem through January as we are in a La Nina pattern and snowstorms will be hard to come by until mid to late February. So do not get upset if we still get more rain than snow, because if the pattern continues, that will be the trend until the cold finally winds out completely in February. I did not want to voice the next thing I am going to write, but I might as well. I do not think we will see anymore than one or two good snowstorms east of the Appalachians and south of the Poconos this winter season, as temperatures will just remain too warm due to La Nina. On the same token, I think the one or two snowstorms that do occur say in February and/or March might be flat-out doosies as I would not be surprised to hear talks of a late-winter blizzard like we had in 1993 with the Superstorm. So that's about all the more HYPE and such I will post for today, but remember, even if we don't see snow through February 10th, don't dismay because the pattern we are in tends to produce snowstorms only in mid to late February through mid March. So hope ya'll have a great rest of day, get ready for a record warm-up through early next week, and I'll talk to ya'll tomorrow or possibly later today if I feel like posting an update! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!

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