Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...Storm Thoughts And A Snow Map!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and now that the deadly storm with the severe storms and heavy snows has moved offshore today, it is time to look ahead and see what is coming down the pike next. Even though things seemed to be calming down on the models there for a time, more storms are now showing and there is much to talk about this evening along with an updated snowfall map. First, tomorrow will be a decent day around the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as temperatures climb into the 30s and 40s across the entire region, but that lull in the action will be short-lived. By Friday night and Saturday, a clipper storm will come across the Great Lakes and produce a swath of generally light snow for a large area from the Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast...before exploding into a coastal storm which will give NH, VT, and Maine another dousing of 6-12 inches of snow in some places. Even though the upper-air soundings would give ya'll the idea that all precipitation from Virginia northward would be snow with this event, that probably will not be the case from the PA turnpike southward only because surface temperatures may be well too warm to support snow on Saturday morning as highs reach the 40s to near 50 from Harrisburg to Fredericksburg, VA, on Saturday...with readings closer to 55 or 60 from Fredericksburg to Richmond. What this means is that from Harrisburg to Washington, DC, the first round of precipitation will fall mainly as a mix of rain and snow if not just plain rain...only with the second little distrubance rotating around the base of the clipper will the major cities see any snowfall at all. The most likely scenario would be for a dusting to an inch from Chambersburg to York to Harrisburg to Allentown to Philadelphia to New York City...with higher amounts the farther north and west you go from those locations. Overall, it will be only a nuisance winter storm with light amounts that should not affect travel...but this is only the first thing I am going to talk about tonight. After that storm moves through, an arctic invasion is poised to move toward the Eastern Seaboard by Sunday and Monday as highs struggle to reach 30-35 as far south as Baltimore and Philadelphia. The cold shot should be short-lived, though, as by Tuesday and Wednesday of this coming week highs should once again climb to about average for this time of year. There will be only one problem though, and that is that another storm system will form in the Midwest and head towards the East Coast on Tuesday and/or Wednesday with a narrow swath of possibly heavy snowfall. It is very difficult to pinpoint the exact location of that band of snowfall right now, but if I had to take an early guess at where the band will set up, I would estimate from Milwaukee to Detroit to Cleveland to Williamsport to Albany to Worcester. Now of course, that forecast is bound to change, but those are my earliest estimates of where the band will set up. Also, after that storm moves east of the Appalachian Mountains, models are hinting at the possibility of it stalling out along the East Coast as a storm develops in NC and rides northward sometime around Thursday of this coming week. With colder air coming into the system, this solution seems very logical to me as it may be the first time this winter that we have to keep an eye on the major cities for the possibility of picking up some decent amount of snowfall. This all is still up in the air at this point, but I definitely think it will be something to keep an eye on as we go through the weekend and early next week. After that, the models have more storm possibilities as we are going to continue to be in the grips of a stormy weather pattern, but I will discuss and analyze those storm possibilities at a later date. For now, I have made an updated snowfall map for the storm this weekend, so hope ya'll enjoy the visual aid of my latest thoughts! Here ya go!



Well that's about all I have for ya'll for now, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll try to update again later tonight and elaborate on the storm chances between Tuesday and Thursday of this coming week! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!