
Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott...and there has recently been much speculation and "model madness" concerning the possibility of an early-season snowstorm across portions of the northeastern part of the United States. The GFS model showed a storm delivering snow to to the "Track 2" snowfall area just two days ago, but now it has backed off to show snow possibly affecting the "Track 1" area. On the other hand, the DGEX has stayed consistent with snow in the "Track 2" area, and the EURO has done just the opposite of what the GFS has done. The EURO showed no snow yesterday, and now today it has the storm. So what does this mean as far as what I think? Well, I definitely agree with the GFS for once in my life as I do not think this storm will have time to develop before it is whisked out to sea. Secondly, even if the storm were to come up the coast, the surface temperatures would be marginal in the "Track 2" area to even support snow. Basically what I see here is a lose-lose situation for snow lovers because if the storm tracks close to the coast, we'll see rain...if it tracks farther out to sea, we will see practically nothing at all. Right now, I think the trough which will plow through the northeast and mid-atlantic regions on Monday will set up farther out to sea that previously thought and will in turn cause the low riding up the trough to be positioned farther out in the open waters. Finally, I think that the negative tilt that the trough was forecast to have will not be as amplified as forecasted, and that will cause the storm to be weaker and farther east. So those are my thoughts on that storm, and I will post later this evening to tell ya'll what my thoughts on tomorrow's rainfall potential look like. That's all I have for now though, so have a great afternoon and I'll update again this evening! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!


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