Christmas Snow...New GFS!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with a quick update on the Christmas Day Snowstorm possibility. The 18z run of the GFS model this afternoon showed the storm forming in the Gulf of Mexico and moving into the Great Lakes with a secondary low developing along the East Coast (remind you of this past weekend's storm much?) whereas earlier it showed the storm moving up the East Coast. So basically I do not believe any given run of the model at this point...the point I'm trying to make here is that the models will be all over the place in Cha-Cha-Cha mode the next few days trying to figure out the track of this storm, so I will not believe them until at least this Saturday or Sunday. What I deduce from these models now is that they really have no idea where the storm is actually going to track when things get down to brass tax...but they should become clearer over the next few days. Right now, after looking at where this storm is going to develop, I would have to believe that this could be the classic case of a storm bombing out and moving up the coast to form the classic nor'easter. I know I shouldn't let this HYPE out yet...but this storm and the storm after that look very similar to the 93' Superstorm and the 96' Blizzard. Both of those storms formed in the Gulf, and neither tracked into the Great Lakes...so I am keeping a wary eye on these "twin storms" to see if they become a near repeat of the two Great Blizzards of the 1990s. If I had to release a forecast track now, it would be to take the storm out into the Atlantic and up the Eastern Seaboard the day after Christmas...but that is just a guess and still classified as "HYPE" at this point, so I will post more when the details start becoming more clear on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. So just thought I'd let you know what the new GFS shows and also my thoughts on the storms, so that's about all I have for ya'll at this point, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your evening and I'll post more tomorrow! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott with a special update for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!