Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...Record Warmth And 14th Storm!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and it appears as if both warm-weather lovers and snow lovers alike will get their needs satisfied in the next two weeks as near-record warmth shows its face in our area by Monday and Tuesday of this coming week along with a possibly major snowstorm around mid-month. I like the idea that the models do not have cold air damming this Monday and Tuesday anymore with the warm-up overpowering everything else...first off because the warmer it gets the greater chance we have of a snowstorm and even colder air behind the storm...and secondly because now we could see temperatures approaching the 70 degree mark across southern Pennsylvania on Monday and especially Tuesday (which I can't wait for). But anyway, I'll slow down a little bit and take it a day or two at a time now. First, we will experience an ugly warm-up today and tomorrow as the clouds that are around today will not go anywhere until late tomorrow afternoon or evening as high reach the 40s statewide and 50s in the far southwest and south. After that, a strong surge of warm air will charge into the region by Monday as thoughts of spring will be very close with temperatures statewide rising into the 50s to 60s by Tuesday. Across the Lower Susquehanna Valley, temperatures on Monday should push 65 on Monday and 68-73 on Tuesday. After that, another warm day is instore for Wednesday with highs in the 50s and 60s statewide...before a minor blast of cooler air hits for Thursday. After Thursday, another storm system will approach the region, causing temperatures to once again soar into the 50s to near 60 by Friday. But all good things must come to end, as after Friday night, a major blast of arctic air will entrench itself into the area...setting the stage for a possible major winter storm event on the 13th and 14th of the month. I am starting to become concerned, looking at the 12z run of the GFS model just minutes ago, that the entire state east of the Appalachians could be in for a major snowstorm as all the factors seems to be shown coming together perfectly on the latest run of the model. If the latest run were to come true, the entire central and eastern part of the state would be buried under 6-18 inches of heavy wet snow...with at least 6-12 inches in the I-95 corridor. Now, as always remains the case with myself, I cannot quite buy this solution yet as it has moved the storm track far closer to the coast since last night's run. This somewhat indicates that the storm may entually shift so that it moves up just west of the Appalachians again...but I am becomely increasingly concerned that because of the cold airmass which should be in place the storm will track up the coast because it just won't be able to push into the icy cold air west of the mountains. So the storm is now out about 200-215 hours on the models, so if it stays on the models, it will become something to watch more carefully by late this evening or early tomorrow. So that's where things stand for now, so hope ya'll have a great rest of your day and I'll update again this evening! If you have any questions on this forecast or would like to know my forecast for the weather in your area of the country for any day in the next two weeks or less, please, feel free to e-mail me at akstormtracker17@yahoo.com or kyleae@earthlink.net! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!