Saturday, March 8, 2008

Daily Weather Pattern Discussion...Long Range Thoughts!

Hello this is Junior Meteorologist Kyle Elliott with our daily weather pattern discussion...and because the storm today through tomorrow seems to be turning out to be more a less a "zero" for our area, I've decided that I'm going to post some long range thoughts tonight about upcoming storm possibilities and what is going to happen to spring. First, though, I do want to touch on the storm late tonight and tomorrow...and basically, an additional inch or less of rain will fall from central to eastern Pennsylvania as a secondary area of low pressure moves northward along the I-95 corridor tomorrow causing heavy rains and possible severe weather to break out in the Mid-Atlantic region. Thankfully, the severe threat does not look as bad as it did yesterday, but that does not mean that an isolated tornado cannot still pop up...and wind damage will still be a common concern tomorrow. But as far as true flooding and severe weather are concerned, it looks to me like the area may dodge a bullet this time. Anyways, since this storm no longer is much to talk about, I'm going to begin discussing our wild and wacky upcoming weather for the next week or two. First, little clipper systems will move through the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast regions Monday through Wednesday with no given location picking up more than an inch or snow with any clipper. On average, most areas will only see a few flurries, and a few locations could see a coating to an inch, but it will be nothing to worry about at all. After midweek this coming week, a warming trend will take place as temperatures soar back into the 50s and 60s for our region by this coming Wednesday or Thursday. Don't let your "snow guard" down yet, though, as the NAO is forecast to head down in the tank by mid-month as a Greenland Block sets up. Due to lack of time tonight, I will not go into the details of the Greenland Block, but just know that when this thing sets up that the Eastern half of the United States will remain cold and stormy/snowy until the block lifts. Having said that, models are hinting at a major winter storm for the Eastern part of the country by this coming Saturday the 15th, but personally I think this first storm will be another lakes-cutter. After that, though, the Greenland Block will set up, the NAO will go in the tank, and most long-range models are hinting at a pattern shift for the East with high chances for snow in places that haven't seen much this year...A.K.A. the I-95 corridor. So snow-lovers, don't lose hope yet as in my opinion, a pattern change will occur mid-month and last at least 10-14 days before the warmth of April truly charges into the region. And warm-weather lovers, rejoice because even if we do get another cold shot and some snow, there is light at the end of the tunnel, and the end of that tunnel is no longer far away. So that's about all I have for ya'll tonight, so hope ya'll have a great night and I'll talk to ya'll tomorrow! This is Junior Meteorologist (Storm Tracker) Kyle Elliott reporting for the AKStormtracker Forecasting Center!

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